So here’s how the votes are looking for tomorrow’s showdown on Peter Nickles‘ nomination as attorney general:

Solid Yes (to confirm) At-Large Councilmember David A. Catania Ward 1 Councilmember Jim Graham Ward 2 Councilmember Jack Evans Ward 4 Councilmember Muriel Bowser Ward 6 Councilmember Tommy Wells

Solid No At-Large Councilmember Phil Mendelson Ward 3 Councilmember Mary Cheh Ward 7 Councilmember Yvette Alexander

Undecided Chairman Vincent C. Gray—-but Alexander’s no is probably a bellwether At-Large Councilmember Carol Schwartz—-will Carol thank Hizzoner for his political assistance, or will she go out with a bang? At-Large Councilmember Kwame R. Brown—-who knows, but probably would vote yes under the right conditions Ward 5 Councilmember Harry Thomas Jr.—-tells LL he’s undecided Ward 8 Councilmember Marion Barry—-probably a no, but this is a man steeped in the art of the deal

So, in sum, there’s a lot of undecided voters predisposed to giving the mayor a hard time here. But in the face of what will be a furious lobbying effort, as one Wilson Building wag puts it, “Nixon could go to China at midnight tonight.”

UPDATE, 6:40 P.M.: Mayoral statement! “The Administration is unequivocally confident in Peter Nickles’ ability and commitment to greatly serve the residents of the District of Columbia as the city’s attorney general. While we respect the council’s process, we look forward to a swift approval resolution.” Long night for JoAnne Ginsburg.