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Despite facing a large field of opponents, Anita Bonds and Elissa Silverman have the D.C. Council at-large field practically to themselves, according to Silverman’s campaign. In a campaign-funded poll obtained by LL, the two candidates lead their rivals heavily in the race for the two available seats.
Beyond offering a little perspective on the at-large race, Silverman’s poll also has more details on its methodology than a recent leaked David Catania polling memo on the mayoral race. The poll, conducted by Public Policy Polling from Sept. 12 to Sept. 14, surveyed 768 likely voters on land lines and cell phones. The margin of error was +/- 3.5 percent. (PPP has also conducted polls for Washington City Paper and the Kojo Nnamdi Show in the past.)
Bonds, who as the Democratic nominee is expected to handily win the one at-large seat that Democrats can compete for, received 26.5 percent of respondents’ votes. Silverman received 17.5 percent in the poll, which asked respondents to choose who they would cast their first and second available votes for.
If that number holds, Silverman, who switched her party registration to independent after running as a Democrat against Bonds in an April 2013 at-large election, would win the seat reserved for non-Democrats. The poll is embedded at the bottom of this post.
“It sort of confirms our impression for the race,” Silverman campaign manager Kitty Richards tells LL.
Silverman’s rivals come off much worse, according to her campaign. Rivals Robert White received 7.5 percent, while Statehood Green Eugene Puryear received 7 percent. Rounding out the candidates competing for third place, Courtney Snowden received 6 percent.
“There really isn’t a frontrunner for third,” Richards says.
Lower down the poll, Brian Hart received 4 percent, preacher Graylan Hagler received 2.5 percent, and Khalid Pitts received 1 percent. If accurate, the poll but doesn’t look good for Bonds’ and Silverman’s opponents, but there may be good news: 26 percent of respondents hadn’t decided who they would cast ballots for yet.
Poll numbers aside, though, some of Silverman’s opponents are showing momentum. While the local AFL-CIO labor council endorsed Silverman yesterday, White, who’s been endorsed by three councilmembers, received backing today from the District’s American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees local council. [documentcloud url=”https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/1302438-at-large-poll-memo-and-questions.html”] Photo by Darrow Montgomery