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David Catania‘s campaign likes to suggest that Muriel Bowser is concerned about her mayoral chances. According to a new poll from pro-business group Economic Growth D.C., though, Bowser doesn’t have anything to worry about.
Bowser has 45 percent in the new poll, while Catania receives 33 percent. Carol Schwartz received 12 percent of poll’s 800 likely voters, while 7 percent were undecided. The poll, first reported by the Post, has a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.
“I think that to the extent that there were undecided Democrats, it seems that they have come home to Councilmember Bowser,” Economic Growth D.C. executive director Dave Oberting says.
An earlier poll from the pro-business Economic Growth D.C. put Catania 8 percentage points behind Bowser. That survey featured an unlikely majority white electorate, which would advantage Catania. The new poll from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, on the other hand, featured 48 percent African American respondents compared to 43 percent white ones.
Catania’s struggles in the mayor’s race are compounded by a weakness across racial lines, according to the polling memo, embedded below.
“By contrast, while Catania attracts a majority of the white vote, his margin among this bloc is significantly smaller,” the memo reads. “Bowser’s white voter share outpaces Catania’s African American vote.”
Responding to the poll results, Bowser campaign spokesman Joaquin McPeek says in a statement that the campaign won’t take anything for granted. Catania campaign spokesman Ben Young wouldn’t comment before seeing more about the poll.
Photo by Darrow Montgomery